Monday, May 16, 2016

The Balance of Payments

Measure of money inflows and outflows between the US and the Rest of the World (ROW)
  • inflows are referred to as CREDITS
  • outflows are referred to as DEBITS 

Current Account
balance of trade or net exports
  • exports of goods/ services- import of good/services
  • Exports create a credit to the balance of payments
  • Imports create a debit to the balance of payments 
Net Foreign Income
  • income earned by US owned foreign assets- income paid to foreign held US assets
  • Ex. Interest payments on US owned Brazilian bonds- interest payments on German owned US Treasury bonds
Net Transfers (tend to be unilateral)
  • foreign aid ->a debit to the current account 
  • Ex. Mexican migrant workers send money to family in Mexico 

Capital/ financial account: the balance of capital ownership
  • Includes the purchase of both real and financial assets 
  • Direct investment in the US is a credit to the capital account
  • ex. The Toyota factory in San Antonio 
  • direct investment by US firms/ individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account 
  • ex. The intel factory in San Jose, Costa Rica 
  • purchase of foreign financial assets represent a debit to the capital account 
  • ex. Warren Buffet buys stock in Petrochina
  • purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account 
  • ex. the United Arab Emirates sovereign wealth fund purchases a large stake in the NASDAQ

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CURRENT AND CAPITAL ACCOUNT
  • the current and capital accounts should zero each other out
  • If the current has a negative balance (deficit) the capital should have a positive balance (surplus) 

Official reserves 
the foreign currency holdings of the United States Federal Reserve System 
  • When there is a balance of payments deficit the fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments 
  • When there is a balance of payments surplus the fed accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments 
  • The official reserves zero out the balance of payments 

Active v passive official reserves
the US is passive in its use of official reserves. It does not seek to manipulate the dollar exchange rate

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