Sunday, March 27, 2016
Relating the Money Market, Loanable Funds, and AD-AS
Increase in government spending results in an increase in interest rates in the money market and loanable funds. This results in an increase in Aggregate Demand. Increasing Aggregate Demand increases price level and GDP. The Fisher Effect has a 1:1 ratio so that if the interest rate increases the price level must increase the same amount
Money Creation and Multiple Deposit Expansion
Summary:
Banks create money buy lending money. The initial loan
multiplied by 1/ RR will give you the maximum amount of loans the bank can
make. If any banks hold excess reserves it reduces the total amount of loans possible.
The process of money being redeposited multiple times is Multiple Deposit
Expansion.
Loanable Funds Market
Summary:
The supply of loanable funds depends on how much people have
in banks. The more incentive people have to save, the more loanable funds there
are. Increasing the demand for money in the money market increases the demand
for loanable funds. An increase in the demand for loanable funds also increases
the interest rate.
The FED- Tools of Monetary Policy
Summary:
The Reserve Requirement (RR) is the percentage of money from deposits that the bank must keep either as vault money or on reserve with a Fed branch. Altering the RR changes the money supply; the absence or lowering of the RR had a great impact on the cause of the Great Depression. Lowering the discount rate, or the interest rate the Fed charges commercial banks they have loaned money to, should increase the Fed’s loan activities. “Buy Bonds= Big Bucks”, if the Fed buys bonds, it means more money for the people which will ultimately raise the money supply.Money Market
Summary:
Demand for money is downward sloping because as price level is higher, the quantity demanded is going to be lower. Increasing demand puts upward pressure on interest rate. Supply of money is not related to interest rate and is always constant; without a slope. Shifting the supply of money to the right, then they stabilize interest rate which is helpful in a recession.Types and Functions of Money
Summary:
The most primitive type of money is commodity money. This is
considered items used in place of money. Representative money is the type we
use today and fiat money is like I.O.U. Money also has three functions. Money
is a medium of exchange, a way for us to get things that we want. Money is also
a unit of account in that we equate higher price to higher value or quality.
Thursday, March 3, 2016
Fiscal Policy
Changes in expenditures or tax revenue as of the federal
government
2 tools:
- Taxes
- gov't can increase or decrease taxes
- Spending
- government can increase or decrease spending
Deficits,
surpluses and debt
Balanced budget:
- Revenues=expenditures
Budget deficit:
- Revenues
< expenditures
Budget surplus:
- Revenues>
expenditures
Gov't debt:
- Sum of
all deficits- sum of all surpluses
Gov't must borrow
money when it runs a budget deficit from:
- Individuals
- Corporations
- Financial
institutions
- Foreign
entities or foreign gov't
Fiscal policy has two
options
- discretionary
fp ( action)
a.
Expansionary- think deficit
- Contractionary-
think surplus
- Non
discretionary (no action)
Discretionary v
automatic
Disc: increasing or decreasing gov't spending and/or taxes
in order to return the economy to full employment.
Disc policy involved policy makers doing fp in responds to
an economic problem
Auto: unemployment compensation and marginal tax rates are
examples of automatic policies that help mitigate the effects of recession and
inflation. Auto fp takes place without policy makers having to respond to
current economic problems.
Expansionary: combat a recession, gov't spending increase,
taxes decrease
Contractionary: combat inflation, gov't spending decrease,
taxes increase
Investment Demand Graphs
Real (r%) v. Nominal
(i%)
what's
the difference?
- Nominal
is the observable rate of interest. Real subtracts our inflation (pi%) and
is knot ex post facto
How
do you compute the real interest rate (r%)?
- r%=i%
- pi%
What
then, determines the cost of an investment decision?
- The
real interest rate (r%)
Investment Demand
Curve (ID)
what
is the shape?
- Downward
sloping
Why?
- When
interest rates are high, fewer investments are profitable; when interest
rates are low, more investments are profitable
Shifts in ID
cost
of production:
- Lower
costs shift ID ->
- Higher
costs shifts ID<-
Business
taxes:
- Lower
bus taxes shift ID ->
- Higher
<-
Technological
change:
- New
technology- >
- Lack
of technological change <-
Stock
of Capital:
- If
an economy is low on capital, then ID ->
- If
Econ has much capital then <-
Expectations:
- Positive
expectation ->
- Negative
expectations <-
Investment Demand
What is investment?
money spent or expenditures on:
- New
plants (factories)
- Capital
equipment (machinery)
- Technology
(hardware and software)
- New
homes
- Inventories
(goods sold by producers)
Expected
rates of return
How does business
make investment decisions?
- Cost/
benefit analysis
How does business
determine the benefits?
- Expected
rate of return
How does business
count the cost?
- Interest
costs
How does business
determine the amount of investment that they undertake?
- Compare
expected rate of return to interest cost
-if expected return > interest cost, then invest
- if expected return < interest cost, then do not invest
AD/AS Graphs
Full employment
- Full
employment equilibrium where AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same point
Recessionary Gap
- A
recessionary gap exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment
output
Inflationary Gap
- an
inflationary gap exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment
output
Aggregate Supply
The level of Real GDP (GDPr)
that firms will produce at each price level (PL)
Long
Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS):
- period
of time where input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes
in the price level
- in
the long-run, the level of GDPr supplies is independent of
price-level
- the
LRAS marks the level of full employment in the economy (analogous to PPC)
- Because
input prices are completely flexible in the long-run, changes in
price-level do not change firms' real profits and therefore do not change
firms' level of output. This means that the LRAS is vertical at the
economy's level of full employment.
Short
Run Aggregate Supply:
- period
of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to changes in the
price-level
- In the short run, the level of GDPr supplied is directly related to the price level
-
Changes
in SRAS
- an
increase is seen as a shift to the right
- A
decrease is seen as a shift to the left
- The
key to understand the shift is per unit cost of production
- Per
unit cost of production= total input cost/ total output cost
Determinants of SRAS shifts
- Input
prices
- Productivity
- Legal
institutional environment
Input prices
- domestic
resources prices:
- Wages (75% of all business costs)
- Cost of capital
- Raw materials (commodity prices)
- Foreign
resource prices:
- Market
power:
- Increases in resource prices will cause shifts to
the left
- Decreases will cause shifts to the right
Productivity = total output/
total inputs
- more
productivity = lower unit production cost= SRAS shifts right
- Lower
productivity = higher unit production cost= shift to the left
Legal-Institutional Environment
·
taxes
and subsidies:
·
Taxes
($ to gov't) on business increase per unit production cost = shift left
·
Subsidies($
from gov't) to business reduce per unit production cost = shift right
·
Government
regulation:
·
Gov't
regulation created a cost of compliance = shift left
·
Deregulation
reduced compliance costs = shift right
AD (Continued)
Determinants of AD
1. Consumption:
·
Household spending affected by:
a.
consumer wealth:
i.
more wealth = more spending (AD shifts right)
ii.
Less wealth= less spending (AD shifts left)
i.
Positive expectations = more spending
ii.
Negative expectations = less spending
- Household indebtedness:
i.
Less debt= more spending
ii.
More debt= less spending
- Taxes:
i.
Less taxes= more spending
ii.
More taxes= less spending
2. GDP
·
Investment spending sensitive to:
a.
the real interest rate:
i.
Lower real interest rate= more investment (AD
shifts right)
ii.
Higher = less important (AD shifts left)
b.
Expected returns:
i.
Higher expected returns = more investment (AD shifts
right)
ii.
Lower expected returns= less investment (AD
shifts left)
•Expected
returns are influenced by:
•Expectations of future profitability
•Technology
•Degree of excess capacity
•Business Taxes
3. Government spending
i.
More government spending (AD shifts right)
ii.
Less government spending (AD shifts left)
4. Net exports
a. exchange
rates (international value of ):
i.
Strong $= more imports, fewer exports (AD
SHIFTS LEFT)
ii.
Weak $ = fewer imports, more exports (AD
shifts right)
b. Relative
income:
i.
Strong foreign economy = more exports (AD
shifts right)
ii.
weak foreign economy = less exports (AD shifts left)
Aggregate Demand
Why is AD downward sloping?
- Real-Balance
Effect:
·
higher
price levels reduce the purchasing power of money
·
This
decreases the quantity of expenditures
·
Lower
price level increase purchasing power and increase expenditures (i.e. Balance
in your bank is $50,000 but inflation erodes purchasing power, you're likely to
reduce your spending)
2.
Interest Rate Effect:
·
when
price level increases, lenders need to charge higher interest rates to get REAL
return on their loans
·
Higher
interest rates discourage consumer spending and business investment (i.e.
Increase in price leads to increase 5 to 25%. Less Liberty to take out a loan
to improve business)
3.
Foreign Trade Effect:
·
when
US price level increases, foreign buyers purchase fewer US goods and Americans
buy more foreign goods
·
Exports
fall and imports rise causing real GDP to fall [Xn decrease](I.e. If
price triples in US, Canada will no longer buy US goods causing quantity
demanded to fall)
Shifters of AD
GDP= C+Ig+G+Xn
There are 2 parts to a shift in AD
1.
a
change in C, Ig, G, and/ or Xn
2.
A
multiplier effect that produces a greater change when the original change in
the 4 components
- Increase= AD shifts right
- Decrease= AD shifts left
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